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You can see how different Tesla is from the rest of the car companies at a place like the LA Auto Show. The tiny Tesla booth has only one car on display. There’s no glitz, or models leaning seductively. But it was swamped during a showing for journalists.
That lone car is Tesla’s Model 3, aimed at the mass market. It’s not the only car that’s supposed to take Tesla mainstream but also bring it to profitability.
But CEO Elon Musk’s company has missed its production goals, and analysts wonder whether he’s spreading himself too thin.
Rebecca Lindland, a senior analyst with Kelly Blue Book who is an admitted fan of Tesla and Musk, says the company’s marketing plan is its bold vision.
“Nothing Tesla does is normal,” she says. That’s part of the appeal of the company. “[Musk] pushes people to think further and faster, and we need people like that.”
Musk and Tesla have innovated many aspects of making cars and batteries. And its Model S is considered one of the best cars of the century.
But the Model 3, the new car Tesla is trying to build, is the company’s make-or-break product: It’s the company’s promise of an affordable electric car.
Yet, the Model 3 has fallen far short of production targets, and Tesla’s battery factory has been having trouble with production.
“Well, for a normal company the answer would probably be no,” says Jeremy Anwyl with Trucks.com. But, he adds, “Tesla is anything but normal, largely because of just the force of personality.”
He says Musk is able to take his various companies into places others just couldn’t venture. The cult of personality around Musk allows him to raise capital easily and excite investors in a way that other CEOs can’t.
The ability to so quickly get money from capital markets comes with risk. “If the market ever lost just a little bit of confidence … the ability to continue to finance the operations of the organization could get a lot, lot harder,” Anwyl says.
Musk predicted this summer that the Model 3 would put Tesla through “production hell.” But other car companies like Toyota, General Motors and Volkswagen don’t face such difficulties.
Jeffrey Osborne, a stock analyst with Cowen, says the big automakers don’t just build cars and trucks efficiently, they build assembly lines and car plants efficiently.
For Osborne, one of the analysts who’s been bearish on Tesla, now is the worst time for Tesla to be having rudimentary assembly line problems.
He points to the turnover rate of top managers. Musk is “a tough guy to work for and you know it’s a company that’s going warp speed. I just wish he’d pause and pay attention to the Model 3,” Osborne says.